Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 17.079213 19.458843 22.055444 25.100067 28.573640 32.414844 36.987412
2024-10-20 13.193667 16.170113 19.663508 24.069740 29.485192 35.931983 44.202478
2024-10-27 10.606504 13.881890 17.987004 23.517782 30.789386 40.044900 52.756000
2024-11-03 9.009981 12.543604 17.254596 24.009292 33.474648 46.311117 65.119879
2024-11-10 7.825935 11.552052 16.819508 24.832837 36.765446 53.958124 80.762458
2024-11-17 6.657910 10.387307 15.960070 24.927936 39.076141 60.671342 96.395050
2024-11-24 5.482766 9.012364 14.570020 24.002053 39.720155 65.062073 109.417206
2024-12-01 4.542681 7.846223 13.312978 23.072370 40.207522 69.317099 123.094339
2024-12-08 3.900275 7.063301 12.552426 22.839090 41.828646 75.752769 141.775626
2024-12-15 3.429858 6.499182 12.073741 23.018444 44.219913 83.973962 165.329749
2024-12-22 3.001334 5.937587 11.506627 22.937175 46.122779 91.658035 189.445233
2024-12-29 2.736038 5.642804 11.391768 23.710476 49.838516 103.513826 224.318010
2025-01-05 2.419146 5.201748 10.941248 23.783117 52.272297 113.512136 258.027425
2025-01-12 2.083531 4.662168 10.198853 23.110668 53.015968 120.159806 285.997419
2025-01-19 1.830542 4.256862 9.672782 22.820083 54.570619 128.936869 320.948402
2025-01-26 1.680172 4.057661 9.570903 23.493460 58.529836 144.088330 374.905326
2025-02-02 1.564546 3.919784 9.587837 24.462742 63.430332 162.547034 441.673090
2025-02-09 1.419094 3.682196 9.324907 24.688424 66.514928 177.143399 501.809871
2025-02-16 1.240163 3.326496 8.706010 23.873494 66.703908 184.278060 543.164315
2025-02-23 1.084761 3.004358 8.117003 23.027314 66.648765 190.788255 584.461750
2025-03-02 0.977886 2.795013 7.791583 22.856655 68.497437 203.089798 646.342987
2025-03-09 0.898692 2.649163 7.615330 23.086285 71.593796 219.738805 726.133610
2025-03-16 0.818925 2.486913 7.363970 23.044726 73.869619 234.444856 803.507593